By J.B. Williams
August 26, 2015
Since the first GOP presidential debates, there is no denying that business mogul Donald Trump has rocketed to early frontrunner status in the 2016 GOP race for the White House. Properly interpreting the message behind his early success is an interesting endeavor…
Before Trump entered the fray, there was another even clearer frontrunner, who also was not officially in the race at the time.
In a field of prospective candidates back in February, Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker was the landslide leader of the field with a whopping 47% of the conservative vote, his closest rivals being Ted Cruz at 13.5% and Rand Paul at 13%. Jeb Bush was back in the field at around 5%. It looked like Walker was a shoo-in for the GOP nomination, with Trump at only 1% back then.
So, what is it about Trump that has turned the GOP race on its head?
In short, Trump is viewed as the irreverent straight-talking anti-establishment non-politician candidate… Known for his heavy browed sharp tongued quips, short temper and “your fired” attitude, he has captured the imagination of the great unwashed and excessively frustrated American “right” who have given up on the “kinder-gentler” Republican turncoats of the past and opted for someone they think may actually do something that matters…
Simply stated, Trump is willing to talk about issues no other candidate is willing to talk about, and take positions that represent a vast majority of Americans that have been labeled “politically incorrect” by the RINO class of Republicans that have infected the GOP for far too long.
The people want real change… pro-American change, not Global Community Organizing intended to make America just another 3rd world member of the global commune. They want someone who says they will “Make America Great Again” and they think that person is Donald Trump.
Whether or not Trump is that person, only time will tell and in the meanwhile, people are so hungry for a real American to lead America, that they are willing to try anything at this point.
As a result, the GOP field now looks like this today…
What is the real Trump effect?
Who has Trump helped or harmed in the race?
Jeb Bush has gone from the back of the field to 2nd, from 5% to 10.7% - Trump has helped Bush.
Ben Carson has gone from 1% to 9.7% since Trump entered the race, helping Carson.
The big loser is Scott Walker, who once enjoyed a 47% position and now is in 4th place at 7.7%... the only man in the race to ever face off with leftist labor unions and defeat them, three times in a row… turning Wisconsin around by freeing the people of Wisconsin from the bankrupting power of public sector unions…
Fiorina, Huckabee, Kasich and Christie have all enjoyed a bump in the polls following Trumps entry to the race. But Walker, Cruz, Rubio and Paul have all taken it on the chin since Trump came on the scene.
Yet, Trump is not picking up the 47% that Walker once held. Instead, those voters are being scattered over the field of fifteen GOP candidates, leaving the frontrunner with only 22% of the vote, 78% of the voters preferring someone other than Trump.
In 2008, John McCain won the GOP nomination, but with only 47% of the primary vote, going on to lose the general election to Barack Hussein Obama.
In 2012, Mitt Romney won the GOP nomination with 52% of the primary vote, and still lost the general election to Barack Hussein Obama.
Despite the rock star status of Donald Trump, he only has the support of 24% of primary voters at present, nowhere near enough to become a major contender in the 2016 general elections. The other 78% of GOP voters appear to be scattered across a field of fifteen GOP candidates, none of them with as much support as Trump, as of today…
A Recipe for Disaster?
According to previous outcomes in similar circumstances, this does appear to be a recipe for disaster.
Only about 30% of registered American voters actually believe in the leftist direction of today’s leftist Democrat Party. But the remaining 70% of American voters are divided by too many GOP and 3rd party choices, again… and the divided 70% is no match for the very united 30% leftist voters who have been running roughshod for years now…
Just in case the “facts” matter, which is somewhat unlikely today… The following GOP candidates should not even be in the race for the reasons stated below.
9.7% (In way over his head)
Rubio 7.3% (constitutionally ineligible, anchor baby)
Cruz 7.3% (constitutionally ineligible, Canadian at Birth)
Fiorina 6.3% (a political fraud)
Paul 4.3% (a political fraud)
Kasich 4.3% (a stone cold loser)
Huckabee 4.3% (a stone cold loser)
Christie 3.3% (a stone cold loser)
Perry 1.3% (a stone cold loser)
Santorum 1% (constitutionally ineligible, anchor baby)
Jindal .7% (constitutionally ineligible, anchor baby)
Graham .3% (a political fraud)
(Just my very well researched and educated opinion)
These candidates are currently tying up 50.1% of the primary vote…. None of them going anywhere in their campaigns, but all of them keeping GOP voters from being able to unite behind any real eligible and qualified GOP candidate.
The strategy for victory for the left is quite simple, divide and conquer the right…
The Trump factor
To be honest, I like Trump personally and agree with much of his campaign rhetoric, especially his current position on immigration. However, I often agree with much of what people say on their campaign trail, only to watch them do something very different after the election. So I have learned not to put much stock in what any of them say at campaign time…
Politicians are much like stand-up comedians… they play to the applause lines. With each stump speech, they learn which sound bites are applause lines and they play to the audience, regardless of their internal beliefs or silent intentions. There is no better example of this than Barack Hussein Obama… who campaigned as a pro-American pro-Capitalism centrist uniter, only to lead like a tyrannical communist dictator after the election.
Does Trump mean everything he is saying? I don’t know… and neither do you! But his past, that of a master user of political opportunities, indicates he is capable of moving in any direction and doing business with anyone who serves his personal agenda.
Well, take a look at the competition in the DNC primary race…
86.3% of DNC primary voters are united behind only three DNC candidates… with Clinton running far out front. This is what party unity looks like. This is how a party wins elections… How can the divided GOP possibly compete with very united DNC?
The only solution is unity… and as long as there are twelve GOP candidates tying up 50.1% of the vote without even belonging in the race at all, that unity is impossible.
Yes, it is early and in general, I support the notion that every individual should support the primary candidate of their choice. But at no time should that ever include blatantly ineligible or unqualified candidates, or even stone cold losers from years gone by…
Do you have to agree with me or do as I suggest?
No…. you can ignore these facts, but at your own peril…